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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 6 July 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 6 July 2025. Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Haugesund (Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet)) sits top on 79% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 5, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the draw no bet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) 79%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sandefjord (draw no bet) 79%
Sandefjord
2 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg (draw no bet) 78%
IF Elfsborg
0 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku (draw no bet) 76%
Haka
0 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway KFUM Oslo (draw no bet) 75%
KFUM Oslo
1 : 1 FT
Bryne
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 5 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 6 July 2025?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Haugesund (Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet)) at 79% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.