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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Wednesday 1 May 2024

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 1 May 2024. Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne (Dynamo Kyiv (draw no bet)) led the list at 84% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 74%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the draw no bet market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv (draw no bet) 84%
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) 83%
Chornomorets
1 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City (draw no bet) 79%
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua (draw no bet) 79%
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Modena (draw no bet) 74%
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 18%
Draw 31%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Como (draw no bet) 74%
Como
2 : 1 FT
Cittadella
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Wednesday 1 May 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne (Dynamo Kyiv (draw no bet)) at 84% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.