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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 24 July 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Sunday 24 July 2022. Atletico-MG vs Corinthians (Atletico-MG (draw no bet)) sits top on 76% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 70%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the draw no bet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG (draw no bet) 76%
Atletico-MG
1 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden IF Brommapojkarna (draw no bet) 74%
IF Brommapojkarna
5 : 2 FT
Norrby IF
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde (draw no bet) 74%
Sandefjord
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 (draw no bet) 74%
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS (draw no bet) 73%
KuPS
5 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile Everton de Vina (draw no bet) 73%
Everton de Vina
0 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia Akhmat (draw no bet) 72%
Akhmat
2 : 1 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC (draw no bet) 72%
Karlsruher SC
2 : 3 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria Rapid Vienna (draw no bet) 72%
Rapid Vienna
1 : 0 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Atlético Ottawa (draw no bet) 71%
York United
0 : 3 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg (draw no bet) 70%
TSV Hartberg
2 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 11 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 24 July 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico-MG vs Corinthians (Atletico-MG (draw no bet)) at 76% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.