Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 11 December 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
Ten matches clear our threshold on Friday 11 December 2026. Heracles vs FC Volendam (Heracles or draw) tops the list at 92% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles or draw
92%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS or draw
88%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk or draw
84%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier or draw
81%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen or draw
79%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen or draw
78%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda or draw
77%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy or draw
76%
Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 11 December 2026?
ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs FC Volendam (Heracles or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.