Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 21 December 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
15 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 December 2025. 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayern München (Bayern München or draw) led the list at 90% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
90%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
88%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor or draw
85%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
84%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira or draw
83%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne or draw
83%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
81%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 or draw
80%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp or draw
78%
La Liga · Spain
Elche or draw
78%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV or draw
78%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara or draw
77%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal or draw
77%
Serie B · Italy
Mantova or draw
76%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa or draw
76%
Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 21 December 2025?
15 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayern München (Bayern München or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.