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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 6 July 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Sunday 6 July 2025. Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Haugesund (Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw) led the list at 84% in the Eliteserien.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 84%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sandefjord or draw 84%
Sandefjord
2 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 82%
IF Elfsborg
0 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku or draw 82%
Haka
0 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway KFUM Oslo or draw 80%
KFUM Oslo
1 : 1 FT
Bryne
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 5 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 6 July 2025?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Haugesund (Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.