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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 18 June 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists four fixtures on Wednesday 18 June 2025. Ilves vs SJK (Ilves or draw) sits top on 80% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Veikkausliiga supplies three of the top 4, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, 0 landed the double chance market — 0%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 80%
Ilves
2 : 3 FT
SJK
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS or draw 80%
Mariehamn
1 : 0 FT
KuPS
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Super League Β· China Sichuan Jiuniu or draw 77%
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland AC Oulu or draw 76%
FF Jaro
2 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%

Showing top 4 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 18 June 2025?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Ilves vs SJK (Ilves or draw) at 80% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.