Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 9 November 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 9 November 2024. FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 94% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
94%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann or draw
91%
Championship · England
Derby or draw
91%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
89%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap or draw
89%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
89%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy or draw
88%
Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC or draw
88%
Championship · England
Leeds or draw
86%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo or draw
86%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv or draw
85%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
85%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava or draw
84%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec or draw
82%
Ligue 2 · France
Lorient or draw
82%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United or draw
82%
Championship · England
Cardiff or draw
81%
Championship · England
Sunderland or draw
81%
Premier League · England
Liverpool or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 9 November 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München (Bayern München or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.