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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 10 July 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 10 July 2024. Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gwangju FC (Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw) led the list at 83% in the K League 1.

Serie A supplies three of the top 5, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the double chance market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 83%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
0 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil Gremio or draw 82%
Gremio
0 : 2 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 81%
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 3 FT
Bahia
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 81%
FC Seoul
2 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Vasco DA Gama or draw 80%
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 0 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%

Showing top 5 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 10 July 2024?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gwangju FC (Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw) at 83% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.