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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 5 August 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 5 August 2023. BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur (BSC Young Boys or draw) led the list at 88% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 87%

Super League · China Shijiazhuang Y. J. or draw 86%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Super League · Switzerland Servette FC or draw 83%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 83%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 81%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%

League One · England Derby or draw 80%

League One · England Charlton or draw 79%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Karviná or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Laval or draw 78%

#12

Serie A · Brazil Internacional or draw 78%

Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 69% Internacional Clean Sheet 53%

#13

Veikkausliiga · Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 78%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%

#14

League One · England Barnsley or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#16

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium OH Leuven or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#17

League Two · England Sutton Utd or draw 77%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

#18

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 76%

#19

Superettan · Sweden Gefle IF or draw 76%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%

#20

Ligue 2 · France Saint Etienne or draw 76%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 5 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur (BSC Young Boys or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.