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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 7 July 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Friday 7 July 2023. St Patrick's Athl. vs Cork City (St Patrick's Athl. or draw) sits top on 95% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 95%
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Cork City
Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS No 55%
#2 Super League Β· China Tianjin Teda or draw 82%
Tianjin Teda
1 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 82%
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 81%
Derry City
2 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 65%
#5 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 79%
Meizhou Kejia
3 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne or draw 79%
UCD
0 : 4 FT
Shelbourne
Win 21%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Ham-Kam or draw 77%
Ham-Kam
2 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 7 July 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by St Patrick's Athl. vs Cork City (St Patrick's Athl. or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.