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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 16 June 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 16 June 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Palmeiras vs Atletico Goianiense (Palmeiras or draw) at 84% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 84%
Palmeiras
4 : 2 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#2 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 83%
Hebei Zhongji
1 : 3 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#3 Super League Β· China Dalian Aerbin or draw 82%
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#4 Super League Β· China Tianjin Teda or draw 76%
Tianjin Teda
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 4 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 16 June 2022?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Palmeiras vs Atletico Goianiense (Palmeiras or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.