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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 16 May 2027

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

60 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 16 May 2027. PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen tops the list at 81% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
: 11:00
Pattani
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
: 11:00
Rasi Salai United
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
: 11:30
Sukhothai FC
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
: 12:00
Galatasaray
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
: 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Erzurumspor FK
: 12:00
Başakşehir
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Eyüpspor
: 12:00
Konyaspor
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
: 12:00
Kasımpaşa
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
: 12:00
Samsunspor
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
: 12:00
Amed
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kocaelispor
: 12:00
Trabzonspor
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
: 12:00
Beşiktaş
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sisaket United
: 12:00
Rayong FC
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
: 12:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
: 12:30
PEC Zwolle
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
: 12:30
ADO Den Haag
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
: 12:30
Heerenveen
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
: 12:30
Cambuur
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
: 12:30
NEC Nijmegen
Win 44%
Draw 20%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 78%
Model Score 2–2 · 7%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
: 12:30
Willem II
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
: 12:30
Feyenoord
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
: 12:30
Telstar
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
: 15:00
Rennes
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
: 15:00
Le Havre
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
: 15:00
Angers
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
: 15:00
Le Mans
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
: 15:00
Lens
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
: 15:00
Paris FC
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
: 15:00
Nice
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
: 15:00
Estac Troyes
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
: 15:00
Lorient
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
: 15:00
Arouca
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
: 15:00
Academico Viseu
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
: 15:00
Estrela
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
: 15:00
SC Braga
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
: 15:00
Nacional
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
: 15:00
Alverca
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
: 15:00
Rio Ave
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
: 15:00
Sporting CP
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
: 15:00
Famalicao
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
: 15:00
Rayo Vallecano
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Deportivo La Coruna
: 15:00
Alaves
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
: 15:00
Athletic Club
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
: 15:00
Valencia
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Levante
: 15:00
Getafe
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Malaga
: 15:00
Celta Vigo
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
: 15:00
Real Betis
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
: 15:00
Racing Santander
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
: 15:00
Barcelona
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
: 15:00
Villarreal
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
: 16:30
AS Roma
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
: 16:30
Frosinone
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
: 16:30
Torino
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Como
: 16:30
Atalanta
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
: 16:30
Inter
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
: 16:30
Udinese
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
: 16:30
Fiorentina
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
: 16:30
Parma
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
: 16:30
Genoa
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
: 16:30
Venezia
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Showing 60 of 60 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 16 May 2027?

60 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.