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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 16 March 2027

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Tuesday 16 March 2027. Southampton vs Wolves tops the list at 79% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 38%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies eight of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship Β· England
Derby
: 19:45
Middlesbrough
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Lincoln
: 19:45
Cardiff
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Preston
: 19:45
Burnley
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Championship Β· England
QPR
: 19:45
Stoke City
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Southampton
: 19:45
Wolves
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Championship Β· England
Swansea
: 19:45
Bristol City
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
: 19:45
Portsmouth
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Wrexham
: 19:45
Norwich
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 8 of 8 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 16 March 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs Wolves at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.