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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 22 October 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

38 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 22 October 2024. Peterborough vs Blackpool sits top on 71% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Cardiff
2 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Championship Β· England
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Championship Β· England
Preston
2 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Swansea
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Stoke City
2 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Burton Albion
2 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Crawley Town
3 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Exeter City
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Peterborough
5 : 1 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Stevenage
0 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 68% Stevenage Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
League One Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Wrexham
0 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
3 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Notts County
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Chesterfield
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 28%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 27%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Walsall
3 : 1 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 22 October 2024?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by Peterborough vs Blackpool at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.