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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 6 February 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 6 February 2024. Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town sits top on 57% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Exeter City
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 19%
League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Stevenage
0 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%

Showing 4 of 4 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 6 February 2024?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town at 57% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.