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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 4 July 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 4 July 2022. Wuhan Zall vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC sits top on 57% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
2 : 1 FT
Antofagasta
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Super League Β· China
Wuhan Zall
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 1 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HIFK Helsinki
0 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 7 of 7 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 4 July 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Zall vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC at 57% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.