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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 11 August 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Wednesday 11 August 2021. Guangzhou Evergrande FC vs Qingdao Huanghai sits top on 62% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
2 : 1 FT
Chongqing Lifan
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
5 : 0 FT
Qingdao Huanghai
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
3 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 37%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 7 of 7 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 11 August 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Guangzhou Evergrande FC vs Qingdao Huanghai at 62% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.