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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 14 March 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Sunday 14 March 2021. VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim sits top on 65% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 2 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 37%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 71%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 22%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%

Showing 5 of 5 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 14 March 2021?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim at 65% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.