Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 13 September 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Sunday 13 September 2020. Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF led the list at 70% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 2 FT
Helsingborg
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
0 : 3 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
0 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 3 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
0 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 38%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
0 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
6 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
5 : 1 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 9 of 9 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 13 September 2020?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.