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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 17 January 2027

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 17 January 2027. Arouca vs Vitória SC tops the list at 48% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 36%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
– : – 16:00
Vitória SC
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#2 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
– : – 19:45
Lorient
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kocaelispor
– : – 12:00
Kasımpaşa
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
– : – 16:00
Athletic Club
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
– : – 17:30
Genoa
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
– : – 12:00
Başakşehir
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#7 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
– : – 15:00
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#8 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
– : – 12:00
Galatasaray
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 61%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Parma
– : – 17:30
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
– : – 16:00
FC Porto
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Malaga
– : – 16:00
Real Madrid
Win 13%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 60%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
– : – 16:00
Santa Clara
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
– : – 17:30
Como
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
#14 Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
– : – 13:00
Lausanne
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
– : – 12:30
Karlsruher SC
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55%
#16 Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
– : – 15:30
Grasshoppers
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 56%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
– : – 12:30
VfL Bochum
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
– : – 12:30
Hannover 96
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Osnabrück
– : – 12:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Academico Viseu
– : – 16:00
Benfica
Win 14%
Draw 17%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 17 January 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arouca vs Vitória SC at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.