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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 15 December 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Monday 15 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to FC Porto vs Estrela at 48% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Primeira Liga supplies three of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 1 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
BTTS No 56%
#2 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Boulogne
1 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Nacional
3 : 1 FT
Tondela
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
4 : 4 FT
Bournemouth
Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 9 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 15 December 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Estrela at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.