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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 29 August 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 29 August 2025. Rodez vs Boulogne led the list at 48% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
Boulogne
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
MVV
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#3 Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
3 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
4 : 0 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 0 FT
Moreirense
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 4 FT
Ayutthaya FC
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
SK Poltava
1 : 4 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
3 : 1 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 57%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
3 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
3 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
3 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 60%
#17 League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
0 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 28%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Elche
2 : 0 FT
Levante
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 29 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rodez vs Boulogne at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.