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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 23 August 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 23 August 2025. Luton vs Cardiff led the list at 50% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 39%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Luton
0 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#2 Premier League · Russia
Zenit
4 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
✓ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 9%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 70%
Over 2.5 58%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 3 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
3 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two · England
Colchester
0 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Tondela
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#8 Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
1 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#10 League One · England
Northampton
2 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Levante
2 : 3 FT
Barcelona
Win 16%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#12 Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
0 : 2 FT
Ried
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 1 FT
Kocaelispor
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
5 : 2 FT
Paris FC
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#15 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 FT
Oldham
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#16 League One · England
Rotherham
2 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#17 League One · England
Peterborough
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#18 League One · England
Bolton
1 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#19 Championship · England
Coventry
7 : 1 FT
QPR
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
1 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 23 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Luton vs Cardiff at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.