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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 22 March 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 22 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to AFC Wimbledon vs Barrow at 53% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 62%
#2 League Two · England
Bradford
4 : 1 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 70%
#3 League Two · England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 0 FT
MVV
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 68%
#5 League One · England
Crawley Town
1 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 League Two · England
Chesterfield
0 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#10 League One · England
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
✓ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 League Two · England
Notts County
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 League One · England
Northampton
0 : 2 FT
Blackpool
Win 22%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 53%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 3 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
#17 League One · England
Peterborough
3 : 0 FT
Charlton
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 League Two · England
Cheltenham
0 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 22 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AFC Wimbledon vs Barrow at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.