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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 16 November 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Saturday 16 November 2024. Barrow vs AFC Wimbledon led the list at 48% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 3 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#2 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#5 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
2 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Bray Wanderers
1 : 3 FT
Drogheda United
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 League Two · England
Doncaster
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#9 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#10 League Two · England
Morecambe
0 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 25%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 League One · England
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
Wrexham
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#13 League Two · England
Accrington ST
2 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#14 League Two · England
Bromley
1 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 0 FT
Grimsby
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 League Two · England
Crewe
2 : 0 FT
Notts County
✓ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 53%
#17 League One · England
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 16 November 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barrow vs AFC Wimbledon at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.