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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 17 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 December 2022. Leyton Orient vs Sutton Utd sits top on 53% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Championship · England
Huddersfield
0 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 0 FT
SK Beveren
Win 13%
Draw 19%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 57%
#4 Championship · England
Coventry
3 : 3 FT
Swansea
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#5 Championship · England
Norwich
0 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Championship · England
West Brom
3 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 League One · England
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#8 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
3 : 0 FT
Brescia
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#11 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
#12 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 League One · England
Portsmouth
0 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#14 League One · England
Derby
4 : 0 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#16 League One · England
Bolton
2 : 0 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 53%
#17 League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 League One · England
Barnsley
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 League One · England
Wycombe
1 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Championship · England
Burnley
3 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
✓ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 17 December 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leyton Orient vs Sutton Utd at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.