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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 3 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Saturday 3 December 2022. Gillingham vs Salford City led the list at 56% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 19%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Salford City Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
0 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69%
#3 League Two · England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#4 League One · England
Forest Green
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 55%
#5 League Two · England
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Bradford
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#8 League One · England
Derby
0 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 League Two · England
Northampton
0 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 League Two · England
Hartlepool
0 : 5 FT
Stockport County
Win 31%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 4 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#12 Championship · England
Sunderland
3 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 League One · England
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 FT
Grimsby
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#16 League One · England
Accrington ST
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 League Two · England
Crawley Town
2 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 1 FT
Lommel United
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 3 December 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gillingham vs Salford City at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.