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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 25 January 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Tuesday 25 January 2022. Gillingham vs Shrewsbury led the list at 49% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#2 Championship · England
Birmingham
2 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
#4 League Two · England
Scunthorpe
2 : 3 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 24%
Draw 38%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#5 Championship · England
Nottingham Forest
3 : 0 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Championship · England
QPR
0 : 0 FT
Swansea
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 League Two · England
Leyton Orient
0 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
#9 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 23%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#11 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
1 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#12 League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 29%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
#14 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
0 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Championship · England
Luton
2 : 1 FT
Bristol City
✓ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 League One · England
Fleetwood Town
3 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#17 League One · England
Burton Albion
0 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 35%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 25 January 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gillingham vs Shrewsbury at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.