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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 12 November 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Friday 12 November 2021. Derry City vs Sligo Rovers led the list at 35% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 35% down to 20%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 League One Β· England
Bolton
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
3 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
#4 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
1 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 6 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 12 November 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Derry City vs Sligo Rovers at 35% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.