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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Thursday 28 December 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Thursday 28 December 2023. Brighton vs Tottenham led the list at 56% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England 56%
Brighton
4 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Premier League Β· England 54%
Arsenal
0 : 2 FT
West Ham
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 44%
BG Pathum United
2 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 44%
Prachuap
1 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 41%
Estrela
1 : 4 FT
Arouca
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%

Showing top 5 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Thursday 28 December 2023?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Brighton vs Tottenham at 56% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.