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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 21 May 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 21 May 2023. Genk vs Union St. Gilloise sits top on 61% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 46%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 61%
Genk
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Premier League Β· England 59%
Brighton
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 57%
Sirius
1 : 2 FT
Halmstad
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia 57%
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany 56%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 4 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 53%
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile 53%
U. Catolica
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany 52%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain 51%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria 49%
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 49%
Adana Demirspor
1 : 4 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Premier League Β· England 49%
West Ham
3 : 1 FT
Leeds
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil 49%
Santos
0 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 48%
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 3 FT
Heerenveen
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 47%
Malmo FF
2 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain 47%
Sevilla
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 47%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 3 FT
Hannover 96
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 46%
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Premier League Β· England 46%
Manchester City
1 : 0 FT
Chelsea
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil 46%
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 21 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Genk vs Union St. Gilloise at 61% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.