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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 15 September 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Tuesday 15 September 2026. Elche vs Real Madrid tops the list at 52% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
: 19:30
Real Madrid
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
: 17:00
Osters IF
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
: 17:00
FC Sion
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
: 18:30
Gornik Zabrze
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
: 16:00
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
: 17:00
Sandviken
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 6 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 15 September 2026?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Elche vs Real Madrid at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.