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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 1 August 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 August 2025. Orebro SK vs Oddevold led the list at 56% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, 0 landed the away win market — 0%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 0 FT
Oddevold
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
1 : 0 FT
Galway United
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#6 League One Β· England
Luton
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 7 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 1 August 2025?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Orebro SK vs Oddevold at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.