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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 25 July 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 25 July 2025. The strongest reading belongs to FF Jaro vs VPS at 53% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
FF Jaro
2 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 0 FT
Nieciecza
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 2 FT
Forge
Win 24%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
2 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 6 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 25 July 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by FF Jaro vs VPS at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.