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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 23 May 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Friday 23 May 2025. Kooteepee vs Haka led the list at 68% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 0 FT
Haka
Win 15%
Draw 17%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Como
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 49%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
1 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 21%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 72% Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 56%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Limache
2 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Anyang
0 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Saarbrücken
0 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 23 May 2025?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Kooteepee vs Haka at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.