Sign in Register
✈️

Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 22 March 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 22 March 2025. Northampton vs Blackpool led the list at 53% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Northampton
0 : 2 FT
Blackpool
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
#2 League Two Β· England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 55%
#4 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 League One Β· England
Peterborough
3 : 0 FT
Charlton
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#6 League Two Β· England
Notts County
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 3 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
#8 League One Β· England
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 22 March 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Northampton vs Blackpool at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.