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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 20 December 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 20 December 2024. Hellas Verona vs AC Milan led the list at 57% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
3 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 3 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 32%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Eyüpspor
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 5 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 31%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 4 FT
Huddersfield
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
6 : 4 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Salernitana
0 : 0 FT
Brescia
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
2 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
1 : 4 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 3 FT
Den Bosch
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 20 December 2024?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Hellas Verona vs AC Milan at 57% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.