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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 10 November 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 10 November 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Akhmat vs Zenit at 75% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 48%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 7%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 10%
Draw 15%
✓ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 12%
Draw 18%
Win 70%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Premier League · Russia
Rubin
1 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 11%
Draw 24%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 16%
Draw 21%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
1 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 14%
Draw 26%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 53%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
1 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 20%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
1 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 24%
Draw 21%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Monza
0 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 23%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
3 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
2 : 3 FT
Bangkok United
Win 17%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 57%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
3 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 26%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 4 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 18%
Draw 32%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
0 : 3 FT
Reims
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
1 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#20 Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 2 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 19%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 10 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Akhmat vs Zenit at 75% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.