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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 13 July 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 13 July 2024. Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye sits top on 62% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 23%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
0 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Fredrikstad
0 : 0 FT
Molde
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#4 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
2 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
3 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 3 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 2 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
5 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53%
#12 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
1 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#13 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 13 July 2024?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.