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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 9 May 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Four matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 9 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Al Okhdood vs Al-Nassr at 72% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 4, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
2 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 11%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
0 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 2 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 28%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Showing top 4 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 9 May 2024?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Okhdood vs Al-Nassr at 72% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.