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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 2 June 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 2 June 2023. UCD vs St Patrick's Athl. sits top on 55% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
1 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Caen
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Ried
1 : 2 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 57%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
3 : 3 FT
Quevilly
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
3 : 1 FT
Sochaux
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
2 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
3 : 2 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
4 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
4 : 3 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
5 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 2 June 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by UCD vs St Patrick's Athl. at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.