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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 28 February 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 28 February 2023. Cremonese vs AS Roma led the list at 62% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 27%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
2 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 62%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#2 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Championship Β· England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
1 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#5 League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
3 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 League One Β· England
Peterborough
0 : 0 FT
Charlton
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
0 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
2 : 1 FT
Reggina
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#11 Championship Β· England
Luton
2 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 28 February 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Cremonese vs AS Roma at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.