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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 22 August 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 22 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Meizhou Kejia vs Wuhan Three Towns at 54% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 4 FT
Konyaspor
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
3 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 58%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 0 FT
Juventus
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 22 August 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Meizhou Kejia vs Wuhan Three Towns at 54% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.