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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 7 May 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 May 2022. Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin led the list at 68% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 68%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 61% Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
2 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 14%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 63%
BTTS No 53%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
1 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
1 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Championship Β· England
Peterborough
5 : 0 FT
Blackpool
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
3 : 1 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 4 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
1 : 0 FT
Sochaux
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Championship Β· England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Desna
– : – CANC
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
#13 League Two Β· England
Stevenage
4 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 1 FT
Al Ain
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
4 : 0 FT
Manchester United
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 1 FT
Ried
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 21%
Draw 36%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70% Ajaccio Clean Sheet 54%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
1 : 3 FT
Guingamp
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 7 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.