Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai – Predictions
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Khorfakkan's attack rating (0.74) and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's defence rating (0.89), the model arrives at 1.22 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's attack (1.39x) against Khorfakkan's defence (1.03x) — and the away total comes out at 2.22.
These ratings are built from 34/33 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 9.8%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.6%), 0-2 (7.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Win
18%
5.52
24%
4.17
58%
1.73
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.7%
Draw
0 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.22
Khorfakkan xG
Total xG
3.44
2.22
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai xG
5.52
18%
Home win
4.17
24%
Draw
1.73
58%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.54
35%
BTTS No
2.84
Clean Sheet
11%
9.18
30%
3.39
Win to Nil
2%
50.69
17%
5.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 | 3.9 | 8.7 | 9.6 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| 2 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 9.8%.
How many goals are Khorfakkan and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai expected to score?
The model projects 1.22 expected goals for Khorfakkan and 2.22 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, a combined total of 3.44.
How confident is the prediction model for Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 58%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.