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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Wahda FC cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Dibba Al Hisn.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Dibba Al Hisn 0-2 at Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Regular Season - 24, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dibba Al Hisn 0.94 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.71 xG, a combined 2.65. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Dibba Al Hisn fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dibba Al Hisn attack 0.69 / defence 1.22 against Al Wahda FC attack 1.03 / defence 0.89, drawn from 23/49 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dibba Al Hisn 21% | Draw 24% | Al Wahda FC 55%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 55%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Dibba Al Hisn 61%, Al Wahda FC 65%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Dibba Al Hisn's trading profile (23 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (23 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.78 PPG against 0.70. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Dibba Al Hisn (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.36 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights