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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Wasl FC cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Dibba Al-Fujairah.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Wasl FC beat Dibba Al-Fujairah 1-3 at Dibba Al Fujairah Club Stadium, Regular Season - 10, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dibba Al-Fujairah 1.06 xG and Al-Wasl FC 1.46 xG, a combined 2.52. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Al-Wasl FC outscored their 1.46 projection by 1.5. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dibba Al-Fujairah attack 0.82 / defence 1.19 against Al-Wasl FC attack 0.94 / defence 0.97, drawn from 9/34 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dibba Al-Fujairah 28% | Draw 26% | Al-Wasl FC 46%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 46%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 25% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Dibba Al-Fujairah 56%, Al-Wasl FC 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 72%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Dibba Al-Fujairah's trading profile (9 games, 4 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 78% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (9 games, 4 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Wasl FC arrived the stronger side — 1.67 PPG against 0.33. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Dibba Al-Fujairah (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.75 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Wasl FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 1 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights