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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Al-Wasl FC edge out Al Wahda FC 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Wasl FC beat Al Wahda FC 1-0 at Zabeel Stadium, Regular Season - 11, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Wasl FC 1.09 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.03 xG, a combined 2.13. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Al Wahda FC landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Wasl FC attack 1.03 / defence 0.79 against Al Wahda FC attack 0.99 / defence 0.81, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Wasl FC 37% | Draw 30% | Al Wahda FC 34%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 37%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 36%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 63% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 43% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Wasl FC 63%, Al Wahda FC 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (35 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (35 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al-Wasl FC 1.83 PPG, Al Wahda FC 1.97 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Al-Wasl FC win broke the near-deadlock. Al-Wasl FC (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.94 average — tighter than their form line. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.61 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights