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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Wahda FC cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Khorfakkan.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Khorfakkan 3-1 at Al Nahyan Stadium, Regular Season - 15, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Wahda FC 2.18 xG and Khorfakkan 1.57 xG, a combined 3.76. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Al Wahda FC beat their projection by 0.8 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Wahda FC attack 1.08 / defence 1.02 against Khorfakkan attack 1.05 / defence 1.15, drawn from 40/40 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Wahda FC 52% | Draw 21% | Khorfakkan 28%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 72%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 89% and landed. Over 3.5 was 52% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 70% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 65% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Wahda FC 60%, Khorfakkan 70%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 68%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (40 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.

Khorfakkan's trading profile (40 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 72% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.60 PPG against 0.98. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.90 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights